对城乡子弟放弃高考比例差别的经济学解释

Economic Analysis on the Difference between the Urban and Rural Area Students Abandoning College Entrance Examination

对于我国当前城乡子弟放弃高考比例不同这一问题,可以借用托达罗模型中的就业概率的概念来予以解释。就业的地域歧视和社会资本的欠缺导致农村子弟对大学毕业后找到工作的概率预期值较之城市子弟低,农村子弟的贴现率较高,以及农村子弟对就业后工资收入的预期值较之城市子弟低是导致农村子弟大学教育预期收益现值较低的另外两个重要原因,最终导致农村学生放弃高考的倾向较城市学生更强。

The employment rate concept in Todaro model can be used to analyze the different proportion between the urban and rural area students＇ quitting College Entrance Examination in China.Regional discrimination on employment and social capital deficiency leads to lower expected value among students in rural area.Higher discount rate and lower expected wages than those of children from city are another two reasons,which cause the lower expected current income of college education for rural students,thus these students has a higher possibility of abandoning college entrance exam than urban students.