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安徽省产业结构与进出口互动关系实证研究 被引量:7

Empirical Studies on Interaction between Industrial Structure and Import & Export of Anhui Province
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摘要 安徽省产业结构与进出口在近几年均取得了快速的发展,但与发达省份相比,仍存在较大差距。基于安徽省1981—2008年的相关数据,利用VAR模型对产业结构与进出口之间互动关系的实证分析结果表明,安徽省产业结构与进出口存在长期动态均衡关系,三者相互影响。政策建议是:决策者应该意识到产业结构调整与进出口对安徽省经济增长的重要意义;不断完善进出口结构,推动产业结构的升级,并进一步促进进出口的快速发展。 Industrial structure and import and export of Anhui Province have achieved rapid development in recent years,but there is still a wide gap when compared with Jiangsu and Shandong.Based on the data for 1981-2008 in Anhui,the paper carries out empirical analysis on the relationship between import,export and the industrial structure by VAR model.The empirical results show that they have dynamic equilibrium relationship in the long run,and they reinforce each other.Main recommendations involved are:to pay more attention to the important significance of import export and industrial structure adjustment to economics growth of Anhui Province;to adjust constantly import and export structure to upgrade industrial structure,and to further promote the development of import and export.
作者 苏振天
出处 《财贸研究》 CSSCI 2010年第3期45-50,共6页 Finance and Trade Research
关键词 产业结构 进口 出口 industrial structure import export
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