哥本哈根谈判进程和中美碳外交的发展

Copenhagen Summit and Developments in Sino-US Carbon Diplomacy

"巴厘路线图"出台后,全球气候变化谈判格局酝酿着深刻变化。进程将尽的哥本哈根谈判也面临大国关系复杂交错的分化与组合。其间中美经由碳外交建立起来的双边协调和互动关系,促使美国试图争取掌握应对气候变化国际谈判格局的主动权,亦促使中国试图继续赢得应对气候变化的国际均势。我们必须对"中美共治"的幻象有清醒的认识,警惕美国在气候变化问题上"绑架"中国。全球气候变化谈判格局不可能适用"中美共治"的模式,而会通过大国之间的合作,促进多边协调的框架机制完善发展。

The adoption of Bali Road Map marked a momentous shift in global climate talks; At the same time, uncertainties between the great powers permeate the Copenhagen Summit as the process draws to a close. In the midst of these developments, China and the US have sought to coordinate via their ＂carbon diplomacy＂, a process through which the US is deemed attempting to dominate the initiatives of the format of the climate talks. Even though the two countries appear to work in conjunction with each other, a Sino-US co-governance of the climate issues is nothing more than a mirage; China needs to be wary of being held ransom by the US in the process. Moreover, global climate talks cannot possibly be molded into the Sino-US co-governance arrangement aforementioned. Instead, a multilateral arrangement, secured through cooperation between the great powers, provides greater hopes for the development of climate-related institutions.