江苏经济增长因素分析及政策建议

Jiangsu's Economic Growth Factor Analysis and Policy Recommendations

全要素生产率方法是研究经济增长质量的重要方法。文章对江苏20年来的经济增长因素进行了实证研究,将促进江苏经济发展的全要素生产率因素分解为:产业结构的调整、所有制的变迁以及金融深化,并根据柯布—道格拉斯生产函数建立计量分析模型。回归结果表明:传统要素投入的增长已经不再是江苏经济增长的主要驱动力,取而代之的是产业结构的不断调整以及非公有制经济的迅速崛起,而金融深化对现阶段的经济增长并未产生重要影响。文章最后提出了相关的政策建议。

Total factor productivity method is an important method to research on the quality of economic growth.We took an empirical study about the elements that contribute to the economic growth in the past two decades.We decomposed the total factor productivity elements which promote the economic development of Jiangsu province into three factors： the adjustment of industrial structure;the change of ownership and the financial deepening,and built the quantitative analysis model by using the Cobb—Douglas production function.Regression results showed that the growth of traditional factor inputs is no longer the main force of Jiangsu＇s economy growth,instead of the constantly adjusting on the industrial structure and the rapid rise of the non-public ownership economy,and the financial deepening on economic growth did not have a significant influence on economy growth by now.Finally,we made the policy recommendations.