我国居民收入分配差距趋势的预测研究

The Research on the Trend Prediction of Chinese Income Distribution Gap

文章利用主成分回归方法对影响我国居民收入分配差距的因素做了分析,得出了影响收入分配因素的主成分回归的数学模型,提出我国居民收入分配差距呈逐步扩大趋势。同时提出应从控制人口增长、深化税制改革、规范收入分配行为、健立健全农村保障制度等方面入手,减小收入差距,从而为政府决策提供依据。

This paper used principal component regression methods to analyze the factors which have impact on the gap of Chinese income distribution and obtained the principal component regression mathematical model and predicted the future trends of Chinese income distribution gap.In the same time,we gave kinds of measures to reduce the income gap and thus provide a basis for government decision-making.