中国国内需求、出口与就业关系研究——基于1997～2007年数据的实证分析

A Case Study of Relations between China's Domestic Demand,Export and Employment:Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of 1997 -2007

本文依据投入产出表并利用997～2007年中国40个部门的数据分别测算了国内消费、投资和贸易对就业的影响效果。检验结果表明国内对非贸易品需求的扩张是拉动就业增加的首要动力,投资和出口贸易的增加是就业扩张的重要补充来源,但是出口贸易对就业的创造效应呈现下降趋势。

Based on input -output table, by employing the data from Chinese 40 industries during 1997-2007, the paper aims to study the impact of domestic consumption, investment and trade on the employment. The result indicates that domestic demand expansion in non - tradable goods is the primary motivation of stimulating job growth. The growth of investment and export is an important supplement in stimulating job growth. However, the creation effect of export trade on employment showed a downward trend.