通有决策系统稳定性与可靠性分析

On Stability and Reliability of a Universal Decision Making System

从定量分析的角度，提出了通有决策系统的系统稳定性与决策可靠性概念，并给出一套简易的决策系统稳定性度量和系统决策可靠性的判定方法。该度量和方法可以作为对一个通有系统进行决策的前提条件和前期考察依据。

The decision making in respect of a system usually means to decide relevant tactics based on a good grasp and analysis of the past records and the present condition about its background system. Therefore, the effect of the decision depends on not only the reasonableness of the tactics but also to a large extent on the dynamic stability of the background system. In this paper, concepts about the stability of a system and the reliability of decision making are proposed for a universal decision system based on a quantitative analysis. A set of simple stability measures for the decision making system and criteria for the reliability of the decision making are presented. The proposed measures and criteria can be used as the precondition of decision making and inspection basis for a universal system.