省管县的条件及对我国26个省区的聚类研究

Conditions for Counties under the Direct Provincial Administration:A Study of 26 Provinces and Autonomous Regions in China

当前,省管县体制改革已成为我国地方行政改革的一个重要内容。省管县的前提条件主要有:广泛的改革共识,适当的管理幅度,必要的经济基础,较好的技术保障,充分的试点经验。以区域面积、县市数量、人均GDP、市场化指数、电子政务水平、高速公路密度、扩权县(市)比例和已扩权月数为量化指标,利用SPSS统计软件对除港澳台、直辖市及海南省以外的26个省区进行聚类研究,最终可以把26个省区分成六类。在改革过程中,条件成熟的省区,可实现率先突破,形成榜样示范;条件不太成熟的省区,可努力创造条件,进行积极探索;条件还不允许的省区,则可等待时机成熟。

The system reform of counties under the direct provincial administration（CUDPA） has now become an important aspect of Chinese local administrative reform.Conditions for CUDPA could be listed as follows： A common understanding of the importance of reform,an appropriate scope of administration,a necessary economic foundation,a good technological guarantee,and the sufficient experience in experiments.SPSS was used in this study to process factors of the area size,numbers of counties and cities,per capita GDP,index of marketization,level of electronic government,density of freeway,proportion of counties whose powers are expanded,months from the time of expanding powers,26 provinces and autonomous regions can be classified into six types.In the process of reform,provinces with ripe conditions should take the lead,setting examples for the others to follow.Provinces whose conditions are not ripe should try their best to create conditions whereas for those provinces without right conditions will have to wait for a suitable time.