中远程地空导弹系统效能评估模型

Medium and Far Range Ground-to-Air Missile System Effectiveness Evaluation Model

应用ADC方法建立了中远程地空导弹系统效能评估的数学模型。分析了典型中远程地空导弹武器系统的可靠性逻辑结构,通过适当的计算假设,计算出武器系统的有效度矩阵;利用连续时间齐次马尔可夫链的柯尔莫哥洛夫向后方程和向前方程求解武器系统的可信赖度矩阵;选择武器系统的目标特性,射击能力,抗干扰能力,导弹能力和机动能力建立能力指数体系数学模型。为了验证模型的有效性,给出应用实例,并提出了进一步研究的方向。

A mathematical model of medium and far range Ground-to-Air Missile system effectiveness evaluation was established with the application of ADC method.Typical reliability logic configuration was analyzed,availability matrix of weapon system was worked out with the appropriate computation hypothesis;Dependability matrix of weapon system was solved by using Kolmogorov Backward and Forward Equations of the continuous time homogeneous Markov chain;The mathematical model of capability exponent system was established by selecting target characters,firing capability,anti-jamming capability,missile capability and mobility capability.An application example validates the model and the future research orientation is put forward.