吉林省民营外贸企业对外贸易与经济增长的相关性的实证分析

Private Foreign Trade Enterprise of Foreign Trade and Economic Growth of Correlation Analysis in Jilin Province

我国政府从1999年开始,先后多次放开了民营企业对外贸易方面的限制,为民营企业创造了更为透明和公正的经营空间。吉林省各级地方政府已经开始高度重视民营企业的发展。吉林省民营企业的进出口贸易与经济增长之间有着非常密切的关系。通过使用协整分析、格兰杰因果检验等计量经济学分析方法对吉林省2004年一季度至2008年第三季度数据进行检验,可以证明吉林省民营企业对外贸易与经济增长之间存在协整关系,格兰杰因果检验也表明吉林省民营企业进出口与经济增长之间存在因果关系。因此,高度重视吉林省民营企业的发展,对推动吉林省经济振兴具有十分重要的指导作用。

Beban from 1999,Chinese has repeatedly released foreign trade restrictions of private enterprise,creating more transparent and fair business space.Local governments of Jilin province have attached great importance to the development of private enterprises.In Jilin province,private enterprise＇s import and export trade and economic growth has very close relationship.By using cointegration analysis,Granger causality test and econometrics analysis method,testing datas from the first quarter of 2004 to the third quarter of 2008 of Jilin province,the result proves there is cointegration relationship between private enterprise foreign trade and economic growth.Granger causality test also shows that there is causal relationship between the private enterprise import and export and economic growth.Therefore,attaching great importance to the development of private enterprises has a very important guiding role for promoting economic development of Jilin province.