基于系统动力学模型的地铁车站客流预测分析

Passenger Volume Forecasting of Subway Stations Based on System Dynamics Model

首先分析了影响地铁车站客流的主要因素,探讨了这些因素与客流之间的因果反馈关系,在此基础上,构建了基于系统动力学的客流预测模型,剖析了客流与其影响因素之间的内在机制。

Superior speed and convenience have rendered rail transit an increasing popular form of public conveyance in metropolitan cities,as a result of which its passenger volume forecasting has assumed a particular significance.The paper first analyzes the major influence factors of the passenger flow of subway stations,explores the causal feedback between the factors and the passenger flow,on the basis of which,a passenger volume forecasting model based on system dynamics is established and the inner mechanism between passenger flow and its influence factors is analyzed.