朝核问题前景展望

The Prospect for North Korean Nuclear Issue

成为核武器大国是朝鲜的基本国策,朝鲜不会轻易放弃核武器。朝鲜半岛局势的发展主要取决于朝鲜采取的具体行动,以及美日韩对朝鲜是否采取更加严厉的制裁政策。朝核问题的困境主要在于美国对朝政策的反复不定,俄罗斯奉行机会主义的外交政策,日本的自私自利,韩国的民族主义色彩太浓。在相当长的一段时间内,恢复六方会谈的可能性并不大,朝鲜将更侧重于和美国举行双边会谈。

Becoming a nuclear power is North Korea＇s basic national policy, and North Korea will not easily abandon its nu- clear weapons. The development of the situation on the Korean peninsula depends primarily on North Korea＇s concrete ac- tions, as well as the United States,Japan and South Korea whether to adopt more stringent sanctions policy against North Ko- rea. The plight of North Korea nuclear issue mainly lies in American capriciously policy to the North Korea, Russian pursuit of a foreign policy with opportunism,Japan＇s self- interest, and South Korea＇s thick nationalism. In the long term, Six - party Talks are not likely to restore, and North Korea will focus on the bilateral talks with the United States.