后金融危机时期的产业升级与就业规模

Industrial Upgrade and Labor Scale after Financial Crisis

金融危机期间,中国经济增长减缓和失业剧增的根本性原因在于产业结构的不合理,产业结构的状况决定了中国经济受外国经济体影响的程度。本文通过计量分析对金融危机发生后中国政府的产业振兴政策提出了有力的理论依据,并通过脉冲效应分析得出,后金融危机时期我国三次产业升级对劳动规模的短期和长期影响的差异;最后提出了后金融危机时期实现我国就业规模扩大和产业升级统一的新思路。

During the financial crisis,the fundamental cause of slowing economic growth and unemployment escalation in China is its inadequate industrial structure. Industrial structure determines the extent to which China＇s economy is impacted by foreign economy. This paper provides forcible evidence to Chinese government＇s industrial booming policies through statistical analysis. It also discovers the distinction between the effects of three industrial upgrades on short-term and long-term labor scale,and finally proposes new ways to expand our employment scale and unify industrial upgrade in post-financial crisis erea.