北京市经济水平统计分析

Statistical Analysis of the Economic Level of Beijing

依据1995~2007年北京市经济发展的相关数据,选取相关经济指标,采用主成分分析法对北京市经济发展水平进行分析。结果表明,1995~2007年国民经济保持高速、持续、稳定的发展,第一、二产业产值均逐年递增,第三产业产值增长迅猛;年生产总值、第三产业总产值和社会消费品零售总额对北京市经济水平情况影响最大,第二产业总产值是北京市经济环境中的增长能力因子。通过实证分析发现,在经济高速发展的同时,北京市经济发展过程中存在着自然资源匮乏、城市规模发展过快、城市污染严重、缺乏对周边地区的辐射能力、产业结构不合理这一系列问题。为此,有针对性地提出强化全国政治中心、文化中心功能、加强北京基础设施建设、完善社会保障体系、提升产业竞争力、抢占科技前沿和产业链的高端等对策建议,以期加快北京经济发展,完善相关制度和政策,为政府制定相关政策提供依据。

According to the data of economic development in Beijing from the year 1995 to 2007,relevant economic indices are selected to analyze the economic development level of Beijing by the principal component analysis method.Result shows that the national economy maintains high,sustainable and stable development in the years 1995-2007.Both the primary and secondary industry output values have increased year by year;and the tertiary industry output value has grown rapidly.The annual gross domestic product,the output value of tertiary industry,and the total retail sales of consumer goods have the greatest impact on economic level of Beijing.Output value of secondary industry is the growth ability factor in economic environment.Empirical analysis shows that there are a number of problems in Beijing during the rapid development of economy,such as serious urban pollution,irrational industrial structure,lack of natural resources,rapid development of city scale,and lack of radiation on the surrounding area.Therefore,suggestions are put forward accordingly,including consolidating the functions of national political and cultural center,strengthening the infrastructure of Beijing,perfecting the social security system the,improving the industrial competitiveness,and seizing the technological frontier and high-end chain,so as to accelerate the economic development of Beijing,to improve the relevant systems and policies and to provide references for the policy making of government.