基于ARIMA模型的山东省居民消费价格指数分析

The Analysis of Consumer Price Index of Shandong Province Based on ARIMA Model

运用Eviews软件,根据山东省CPI历史数据建立了拟合程度较高的居民消费价格ARIMA模型,并对CPI进行分析和短期预测.结果表明,山东省市场价格保持低位平稳运行,通货膨胀率低,经济稳定呈快速增长态势.

A more ideal ARIMA model was built through the use of the Eviews based on historical CPI data of Shandong province. CPI was analyzed and predicted in short-time. The results show that Shandong Province develops fast with low and steady market prices as well as low inflation.