群体性事件影响因素的实证研究

An Empirical Research of Factors Affecting Mass Incidents

利用2006年"中国综合社会调查"数据,分别从人口学特征、经济状况和社会环境三个层面,对人们参与群体性事件的影响因素进行Logistic回归分析。结果显示:女性、农业户口、有无直接利益关系、想到当地政府投诉等因素对参与群体性事件有显著影响;而受教育程度、目前工作状况和个人月收入没有显著影响。由此可以认为,农村地区的女性,通过行政渠道维护自身权益的集体行为或表达利益的诉求很有可能引发群体性事件。

Using the data of ＂China＇s General Social Survey＂ in 2006,the paper made a Logistic regression analysis of external factors affecting people＇s participation in mass incidents respectively from the three dimensions： demographic characteristics,economic status and social environment.The results showed that the participation in the incidents is remarkably affected by such factors as women,rural people,whether with direct interest or not,desire to make complaints to local governments and so on,while educational level,current occupation and personal monthly income didn＇t.It can be then held that women in rural areas are likely to lead to the incidents by their gathering to protect their rights through administrative channels or to make claims and express their demands for interest.