摘要
本文利用重庆1987—2008年的经济数据进行实证检验,根据VAR模型建立向量误差修正模型。实证结果表明重庆FDI、国际贸易与经济增长间具有长期均衡关系,且FDI和出口对经济增长影响明显,重庆市经济是典型的出口导向型经济模式,出口是导致进口增长的原因,FDI和出口之间存在双向因果关系。
Based on the Chongqing economic data from 1983 to 2004,this paper performs an empirical research according to VAR modle and the results of vector error correction model,it draws a conclusion that there is a long-term equilibrium between the three variables,FDI and export have great impress on economics.The results also reveal that Chongqing is an export-led growth district and export is a causality to import,there is a bi-directional causality between FDI and export.
出处
《技术经济》
2010年第7期61-64,共4页
Journal of Technology Economics
基金
教育部基金项目"经常项目变动的决定因素及机制:理论框架与中国实证"(08JC790111)
关键词
重庆
经济增长
向量误差修正模型
Chongqing
economic growth
vector errorcor-rection model
