GM(1,1)等维新息模型在某市需水量预测中的应用

Application on GM(1,1) grey information renewal model for predicting water demand in one city

用GM(1,1)等维新息模型对孟州市2010年,2015年,2020年的需水量进行了预测,得出需水量分别为7 759.6万m3,8 823.5万m3,9 015.3万m3。对预测结果的精度校验表明,模型的预测精度等级为一级,模型可靠、合理。

Predicting the water demand of Mengzhou on 2010 year, 2015 year,2020 year though GM（1,1）grey information renewal model,the results show that 7 759.6×104 m3,8 823.5×104 m3,9 015.3×104 m3 are needed.The accuracy verification show that the forecast precision is the first-level,the model is reliable and reasonable.