2013年辽宁全运会主场优势的量化分析——兼述这届全运会辽宁省奖牌预测

Liaoning on the National Games 2013 Quantitative Analysis of Home Advantage——Discussion on the National Games Prediction of Medals of Liaoning Province

运用文献资料法、数理统计法,以全运会比赛成绩为研究对象,在奥运会、全运会等大型综合性赛事普遍存在明显主效优势的研究基础上,对主场优势进行量化分析。结果显示,辽宁省在第十二届全运会中明显存在主场优势;主场优势可能会引起运动成绩1.5倍左右的提高。

The use of literature, mathematics and statistics, with the National Games Competition of the research object, in the Olympic Games, the National Games common events such as large - scale comprehensive obvious advantage of the main effects, based on quantitative analysis of the home advantage. The results show： National Games of Liaoning Province, clearly exists in the twelfth home court advantage; home advantage might give rise to athletic performance improvement of 1.5 times.