摘要
通过借鉴国内外技术预测发展经验,结合数控机床和基础制造装备领域的特点,选择适合的以德尔菲为主的技术预测方法,构建数控机床与基础制造装备领域技术预测模型,并对技术预测过程中备选技术清单、调查指标体系、调查结果统计等重点问题进行分析。
Base upon the experience of technology forecasting in domestic and abroad, combined with the characteristics of CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipments, the paper select Delphi survey as the main method, construction model of technology forecasting in CNC machine tools and basic manufacturing equipments, then analysis in list of candidate technologies, survey Index System, statistical findings and other key issues in the process of technology forecasting.
出处
《机电产品开发与创新》
2010年第4期172-174,共3页
Development & Innovation of Machinery & Electrical Products
基金
<高档数控机床与基础制造装备>科技重大专项课题:数控机床与基础制造装备技术预测与关键技术选择(2009zx04014-111)
关键词
数控机床
基础制造装备
技术预测
德尔菲
CNC machine tools
basic manufacturing equipments
technology forecasting
delphi
