印度对华反倾销偏好研究

Research on India-to-China Antidumping Preference

本文研究结果表明中国出口占印度总进口的比重、中印之间的贸易平衡、两国汇率与印度对华反倾销动机之间存在正向关系;印度的关税水平和经济增长速度与其存在负向关系;中国加入WTO和金融危机也显著增加了印度对华反倾销的可能,且金融危机的影响力最高;中印之间的政治关系对中印两国之间贸易摩擦的影响并不显著。

This paper analyzes the potential factors of India-to-China Antidumping related to economics and politics by Poisson Model and data with 2-code HS products from1994 to 2008. The conclusion shows that the percentage of export from China to India in India import from world, trade balance between China and India, exchange rate are positive for India-to-China antidumping cases. India＇s tariffs and GDP growth rate have nega- tive impact. Two dummy variables, WTO and financial crisis, increase the intention of initiation of India-to- China antidumping and the latter has the strongest shock to india-to-china antidumping case of all significant vari- ables. The relationships between India and China are not significant.