摘要
回顾了我国短期气候监测预测业务发展技术历程,总结了业务的现状和主要进展,根据经济社会发展对气候监测预测服务的需求,分析了气候监测预测业务水平不高和业务能力不能满足服务需求的问题。提出了建立涵盖从延伸期(15到30天)、月、季、年、年际和年代际的时间尺度的无缝隙业务的发展目标和重点任务。
The history of the short-range climate monitoring and prediction operation is reviewed in the paper. The operation feature and main advances are summarized.Based on the needs from economic and social development,the shortage of the prediction skill and operation ability to service need is analyzed.The seamless operation frame covering from the extended range(15—30 days),month,season,year,interannual to decadal timescales is presented as the aim for future operation.
出处
《气象》
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第7期21-25,共5页
Meteorological Monthly
关键词
气候
预测业务
进展
climate
prediction operation
advances