我国就业人数的主要影响因素分析及前景预测

An Analysis and Forecast of the Main Factors in China’s Employment Population

针对就业问题，通过有关数据分析，运用SPSS，采取主成分分析法提取主要影响因素或指标，建立了就业人数的数学模型，分别从包含主要的经济社会指标、分行业、分地区、分就业人群角度，建立比较精确的数学模型．据国家有关决策规划对2009年及2010年上半年的就业前景进行仿真．最终结合模型与仿真结果，为提高就业人数或减少城镇登记失业率提出较好建议．

By using SPSS and analyzing relevant data, the aim is to extract several employment-affecting factors or indicators and a mathematical model of China＇s employ- ment population is established. This model is comparatively accurate for it includes the main economic and social indicators and it covers a variety of industries, areas and age groups. Then, based on the government＇s employment policies and strategies, a simulative approximation of employment rate is given in 2009 and the first two quarters of 2010. Finally, according to the mathematical model and simulations, a proposal is provided to enlarge the employment population and reduce the unemployment rate.