金融资源产出弹性的地区差异研究——基于1994～2007年中国省际面板数据

Reserch of Financal Resource Output Elasticity Among Different Regions Based on 1994～2007 Panel Data of China's Provinces

20世纪90年代以来,金融资源以其资源属性对地区经济增长所起的作用受到了越来越广泛的关注。首先对全国32个省区1994～2007年间金融资源各自的平均占有量进行了对比;其次对全国金融资源与产出的关系进行了格兰杰因果关系检验,得到二者存在单向滞后因果关系。接着,对32个省区做了面板数据模型,并得到其各自的金融资源产出弹性。最后,发现金融资源相对匮乏的地区,其金融资源的增加对地区经济增长的贡献度要大于金融资源发达的地区。并有针对性地提出对策建议。

Since 1990＇s,the role of financial resource as a resource to the regional economic growth has been increasingly concerned.This paper first maks a comparison of the average financial resource in 32 provinces and regions,by using relevant data from 1994～2007.Second,it makes a Granger Causality test to ensure the relationship between the nation＇s financial resource and output,find there are two backward and one-way causation.And then,it makes a panel data model on the 32 provinces and regions,in order to get the financial resource output elasticity of their respective.Finally,the paper find that if we increase financial resource of the regions whose financial resource are relative scarcity,we can get greater contribution of their economic growth than the regions whose financial resource are rich.Thus it puts forward the countermeasures and proposals.