出口商品结构与我国全要素生产率增长——基于我国省际面板数据的实证分析

Commodity Structure of Export and Total Factor Productivity——Based on the Provincial Panel Data Analysis in China

在核算了1994～2007年我国各省全要素生产率的基础上,利用面板单位根检验、协整检验、完全修正最小二乘估计法,实证分析了出口商品结构与全要素生产率的关系。研究发现,我国的出口量增长不能促进全要素生产率增长,初级产品的出口弱化了全要素生产率增长,而工业制成品的出口推动了全要素生产率的增长;各地区的省市有所差异,说明出口商品结构对全要素生产率的影响具有区域性特点。

With the continuous optimization of export structure,the relationship between total factor productivity and export structure has been paid attention to.The paper computes total factor productivity of 28 provinces from 1994 -2007 by Malmquist Productivity Index and applies the panel unit root,heterogeneous panel cointegration,fully modified ordinary least squares to analyze the relationship.The study finds：China＇s export volume growth is not all to be productivity growth,while China＇s exports of primary products weakens China＇s overall total factor productivity growth,exports of manufactured goods pushes China＇s total factor productivity growth,but various regions and provinces may be different.The impact of structure of export commodities on total factor productivity has regional characteristics.