条件推理的概率理论和双重结构模型

Probability Theory and Dual Structure Model of Conditional Reasoning

为了检验概率理论和双重结构模型的＂形式＂与＂内容＂两种判断标准之间的关系,本文通过运用不同的条件命题作为实验材料进行探讨。结果发现概率理论与＂形式＂和＂内容＂两种判断标准的观点存在一定的重合。概率理论和两种判断标准都可以对条件推理的结果进行很好的解释,但各自也都还存在着不足,而两种解释则刚好可以互补一方的不足对条件推理结果进行更好的解释。

This paper uses different conditions as the experimental material to test the relationship between the probability theory and the two criteria of the form and content of dual structure model.The results show that there exists certain compatibility between them,since they both can well interpret the results of conditional reasoning to a large extent,and one can also make up the other's defects.