后危机时代世界碳交易市场的发展及其前景

On Post-Crisis Carbon Emission Trading Market

后危机时代配额式和项目式碳交易市场的交易量和交易额都有所增长,但增长速度并不平衡,原因在于碳减排单位价格的下降,这是由金融危机造成的碳市场需求和供给不均衡所导致的。然而在政府实施积极政策的国家或地区,碳市场则受负面影响较小。因此各国要完善碳的定价机制,加强碳价的监控,重视法律法规的建设。哥本哈根气候大会之后的碳市场,其发展既让人期待,又具有很大的不确定性。

The paper analyzes the financial crisis＇ impact on the main carbon markets,and finds that in the post-crisis era,both the trading volume and value from allowance-based market and project-based market had increased,but their increasing rates didn＇t match each other for the reason of the decreasing price,which is caused by the unbalance between the demand and the supply. But the crisis had little impact on the carbon market where government had imposed positive policy signals on. Therefore,countries should improve the carbon pricing mechanism,monitor the price and emphasize the construction of laws. Then the development of the carbon market after Copenhagen Climate Conference is highly expected as well as greatly uncertain.