我国经济增长与能源消费关系的比较分析——基于我国东西部地区的面板数据

Comparative Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in China——the Panel Data from the Eastern and Western China

采用我国东西部地区的省级面板数据,运用面板数据协整分析、Granger因果关系检验及误差修正模型,对我国东西部地区的经济增长和能源消费关系进行比较研究。实证结果表明,我国东西部地区经济增长和能源消费之间存在协整关系,并且存在长期的Granger因果关系,但西部地区不存在短期的Granger因果关系,即东部地区经济增长与能源消费之间的关系较之比西部地区更为密切。在研究结果的基础上提出了促进我国区域经济和能源协调发展的政策建议。

In this paper,the provincial-level panel data of east and west China was used.The study comparatively analyzed the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in eastern and western China based on the panel data cointegration,Granger causality test and error correction model.Empirical results show that cointegration relationship and the long-term Granger causal relationship exist between economic growth and energy consumption in the east and west of China.However,the short-term Granger causal relationship has been not shown in western China.In other words,the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in east should be more closely than that in west.Based on the study results,the paper puts forward some policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of regional economy and energy utilization in China.