金融危机通过对外贸易渠道对我国经济增长和就业的影响分析

The Financial Crisis Impacting on China's Economic and Employment Through Foreign Trade

美国次贷危机引发的金融危机通过对外贸易渠道对我国经济增长和就业产生了较大影响,有效的测算出其对各产业部门不同程度的影响,对于我国保持经济增长和稳定就业有着非常重要的意义.阐述了金融危机影响下我国对外贸易和就业的现状,构建了金融危机通过对外贸易途径影响我国经济和就业的投入产出测度模型,利用2002年1月至2009年4月的数据实证测算了此次金融危机通过对外对外贸易渠道对各产业部门的产出的直接影响和完全影响、增加值的完全影响以及就业的完全影响,并提出相应的政策建议.

The financial crisis triggered by The U.S. subprime mortgage crisis has greatly influence China＇s economic and employment through foreign trade. This paper takes an effective measure of the varying influence of financial crisis on industrial sectors which is significance to maintain stable economic growth and stability of employment. Firstly, it describes the China＇s foreign trade and employment under the influence of the financial crisis. Secondly, it builds up the input-output model of measuring the influence of financial crisis on output, GDP and employment. Thirdly, with the statistics from Jan.2002 to Apr.2009, it empirical analyses the direct output and full impact of output, GDP and employment of financial crisis through foreign trade. Finally, it provides some policy recommendations.