后危机时期的中国FDI:环境约束、变化趋势与政策调整

The Post-Financial Crisis FDI in China: Variation Trend and Policy Adjustment

后危机时期,全球经济将在缓慢中复苏,全球资本流动也将在深幅下降中逐步回升,但这种趋势仍有很大的不确定性。后危机时期也是中国经济转型和开放战略升级的关键时期。这种大的宏观背景必然对中国外资利用形成较强的环境约束。金融危机对我国FDI(外商直接投资)利用规模形成了较大的短期负面影响,在区域和产业上的表现也很复杂。后危机时期,我国FDI流入规模会有所回升,但撤资现象也会增多。同时,中西部地区和服务业领域对外资的吸引将会增加。为了更好地稳定外资规模,提升外资利用效益,后危机时期,中国应进一步降低外资进入门槛,实现外资利用政策和产业政策及区域政策的对接、协调,营造更优良的制度环境。

In post - financial crisis era, World economic resurgence will be slowly. World capital flow is going to recover from the valley step by step. But this trend is full of uncertainties. The post - financial crisis era is key stage of China＇s economic transition and opening - up strategy upgrading. These macrobackground is constraint condition to China＇s FDI. Financial crisis has negative impact to FDI scale of China＇s FDI in short time. And its impact is complex in regional economy and industrial economy. In post - financial crisis era, the scale of China＇s FDI will expand. At the same time, the phenomena of divestment will also increase. The flow of FDI in middle and west region will grow. Chinese govern- ment should lower threshold to capital flow for stability and benefit of FDI during post - financial crisis era. And government should cooperate FDI policy with industrial and region policy and offer good institution background.