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Noteworthy Discrepancies in China's GDP Accounting 被引量：2

Noteworthy Discrepancies in China's GDP Accounting
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摘要 Consistency is essential in statistical data processing. This paper reports some notable discrepancies in China＇s GDP accounting, which are unexpectedly found after testing the consistency of GDP accounting and its components. Although these discrepancies are mainly attributed to the revision methodology adopted afier the 2004 economic census, the intention to harmonize GDP accounting data, in terms of production and expenditure, also contributes to the discrepancies. Our ftnding highlights the need for careful checking of consistency and for testing before formal release of any official statistics. Consistency is essential in statistical data processing. This paper reports some notable discrepancies in China＇s GDP accounting, which are unexpectedly found after testing the consistency of GDP accounting and its components. Although these discrepancies are mainly attributed to the revision methodology adopted afier the 2004 economic census, the intention to harmonize GDP accounting data, in terms of production and expenditure, also contributes to the discrepancies. Our ftnding highlights the need for careful checking of consistency and for testing before formal release of any official statistics.
作者 Xinhua He
机构地区 Senior Research Fellow
出处 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2010年第4期88-102,共15页 中国与世界经济（英文版）
关键词 China statistics DISCREPANCIES GDP accounting revision methodology China statistics, discrepancies, GDP accounting, revision methodology
分类号 F124 [经济管理—世界经济] F275.2 [经济管理—企业管理]
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参考文献22

  • 1China Custom, 2000-2007, China Foreign Trade Price Indices, Beijing: China Custom (in Chinese).
  • 2Department of National Accounting, NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 1997a, Methodology of China Quarterly GDPAceounting, Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 3Department of National Accounting, NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 1997b, Methodology of China Annual GDP Accounting, Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 4Department of National Accounting. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 2004, China National Accounting, Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 5Department of National Accounting. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 2007a, Historical Data of China GDP Accounting. 1952- 2004, Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 6Department of National Accounting, NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 2007b, China Annual GDP Accounting in the Census Year, Beijing; China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 7Department of National Accounting. NBS (National Bureau of Statistics of China), 2008, China Annual GDP Accounting in the Non-census Year, f]cijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).
  • 8Holz, Carsten A., 2004, "Deconstructing China's GDP statistics," China Economic Review, Vol. 15, No. 2, pp. 164-202.
  • 9Holz, Carsten A., 2006, "China's reform period economic growth: How reliable are Angus Maddison's estimates?" Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 85-119.
  • 10Keidel, Albert, 2001, "China's GDP expenditure accounts," China Economic Review, Vol. 12, No. 4, pp. 355-67.

同被引文献19

  • 1Klein L, Makino J. Economic interpretation of the statistical discrepancy [J]. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 2000, 26: 11-29.
  • 2Mehrotra A, PkkSnen J. Comparing China's GDP statistics with coincident indicators [R]. BOFIT Discussion Papers. Institute for Economies in Transition, Bank of Finland, 1/2011.
  • 3Bretton A, Savage D. The three measure of GDP [J]. Institute Economic Review, 1984: 54-9.
  • 4Weale M. Estimation of data measured with errors and subject to linear restriction [J]. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7: 167-74.
  • 5Gonzalo J, Granger C W J. Estimation of common long-memory components in cointegrated systems [J]. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1995, 13: 27-35.
  • 6Huh H, Koo C. A Method to allocate GDP statistical discrepancy [J]. Applied Economics Letters, 2006, 13: 587-591.
  • 7Stock J H, Watson M W. Testing for common trends [J]. Journal of the American Statistical Asso- ciation, 1988, 83: 1097-1107.
  • 8Johansen S. Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors [J]. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 1988, 12: 231-54.
  • 9闫荣国,邱长溶.马尔可夫域变模型在我国季度GDP增长率序列建模中的应用[J].数理统计与管理,2007,26(2):217-222. 被引量：4
  • 10黄志钦,周毅.中国GDP统计真实性质疑[J].中国经贸,2008(22):121-122. 被引量：1

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China & World Economy
2010年 第4期

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