生产性服务业利用外资与我国服务业经济增长的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between PSFDI and Growth of Chinese Services Industry

本文采用1993-2008年的经济数据,从生产性服务业外商直接投资对中国服务业经济增长的影响出发,对二者的关系进行了协整检验和格兰杰检验。结果发现,生产性服务业吸引外商直接投资和服务业经济增长之间存在Granger因果关系,生产性服务业FDI与服务业经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,在此基础上又进一步分析不同行业的生产性服务业FDI对其经济增长的影响,并基于检验结果做出结论。

This article carries out co-integration test and Granger test employing statistical data from 1993 to 2008 from a new angle of the relationship between the FDI in producer service and service growth.The findings verify that there exists an Granger causality relationship and perennial,balanced relationship between FDI in producer service and service growth.On the basis of the findings,we make further analyses on the effects of different sectors of the producer service on service growth.Finally,we make some conclusions which based on the empirical analysis.