京沪金融中心之争的演进路径——基于Lotka-Volterra模型的分析

The Evolvement Route of the Competition Between Beijing and Shanghai for the Financial Center

通过运用Lotka-Volterra模型分析京沪竞争金融中心的历程及阶段性表现可以得出以下结论:1994-2008年,京沪双方经历了从互助双赢竞争,到京强沪弱的捕食者—猎物竞争,再到双方皆有损失的纯竞争关系。目前双方皆有损失的纯竞争关系对京沪金融业的发展均有不利,未来的政策取向应重点放在促成双方的合作而非加剧竞争。

This paper analyzes the evolution of the competition between Beijing and Shanghai for the financial center using Lotka-Volterra model. The result shows that the comparative strong or weak relations have changed with the passage of time. At present,there is a pure competitive relationship between Beijing and Shanghai. It proposes that the relationship has a negative impace on both sides. The authorities should focus on promoting cooperation rather than competition between the two cities.