基于技术进步的浙江省能源消费回弹效应研究

Research on Rebound Effect of Energy Consumption Based on Technological Progress in Zhejiang Province

基于技术进步对经济增长的贡献和环境负荷分解模型,对浙江省1990年以来技术进步对GDP增长的贡献、能源消费回弹效应及能源回弹量进行实证分析。其中,对技术进步的测定采用城镇单位在岗职工工资总额和农村居民纯收入作为劳动因素,以期更合理地体现劳动对经济增长的贡献,同时对多元回归模型的多重共线性进行滞后差分变换,以期得到更为精确的实证数据。

Based on the contribution of economic growth due to technological progress and environmental loading model,this article makes an empirical analysis about the technological progress,GDP growth and the rebound effect of energy consumption of Zhejiang Province since 1990.Among them,it is reasonable that we measure the contribution of technological progress using the total wages of the on-the-job workers and the net income of rural residents as labor factor.In order to get the empirical data more accurately,we make delay difference transformation about the multicollinearity of multiple regression model.