江西省近40年地表水资源的诊断分析及趋势预测

Diagnostic Analysis and Forecast of the Total Amount of Surface Water of Jiangxi Province

通过对近４０年江西省地表水资源的年际变化、阶段性和周期分析，发现我省地表水资源年际变化较大，阶段性、周期性明显．其次，建立均生函数预测模型。

In this paper,in the past 40 years the basic characteristics and the periodic variation of surface water in Jiangxi province have been analysed.Secondly,a mean value generation function model has been established to predict the total amount of surface water of Jiangxi province in the future.