摘要
本文简述了负荷预测的意义及一般与特殊预测方法,分析了建立灰色平面的三种方法,从而提出了上下限线划分法,论述了空调系统是一非本征灰色系统,结合实例进行了系统负荷的灰色区间预测,经与实测比较,证实上下限线划分法所建立的灰色平面是可行的.
In the paper,the purpose of load forecasting is analyzed. Conventional and special forecasting methods are simply stated. Upper-Lower Limit Line Methed (ULLLM) is put forward,based on three metheds of gray plane built. That air-conditioning system is non-eiger gray system is proposed. By a real example, gray interval predicting of loads of building hygrothermal system is studied. Compared with real measurement, it is feasible to apply ULLLM to build gray plane.
出处
《系统工程》
CSCD
1999年第3期60-65,共6页
Systems Engineering
