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基于经济长周期耦合的中国产业发展——以江苏无锡为例的研究

A Study on Industry Development based on Long-term Business Coupling Analysis in China——Take Wuxi as Example
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摘要 随着经济全球化的进一步发展,一国或一个地区的经济发展同国际环境愈发密切相关。本文在定性分析世界经济长周期与产业发展关系的基础上,构建了基于灰色关联度的经济长周期耦合模型,以无锡产业发展为例,定量判断无锡经济发展趋势同世界经济发展的耦合度,并结合世界经济长波背景、无锡产业基础和中国物联网发展国家战略,提出无锡通过发展物联网产业带动整体产业发展的模式,为中国的产业发展提供借鉴。 With the further economic globalization, a country's economic development is closely related with the international environment. Under the qualitative analysis of the relationship between world long business cycle and industrial development, in this paper, we put forward long-term business coupling model based on grey incidence degree, and take Wuxi's industrial development as an example, quantitatively calculate the coupling degree between Wuxi's economic development and world economy. Considered the background of world long-term business cycle, Wuxi's industrial base, and Intemet of Thing's development strategies of China, we propose Wuxi's industrial development mode, that is take Intemet of Things industry as a Engine, the overall industrial development is promoted by developing of Internet of Things industry vigorously. This can set the style for China's industrial development.
出处 《经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第9期45-51,共7页 Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
关键词 经济长周期 产业发展 主导产业选择 灰色关联 物联网 long-term business cycle industry development leading industries grey incidence Internet of Things
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