摘要
研究的目的是搞清交通信息提供对驾驶员路径选择行为的影响机理和程度,为智能交通系统(ITS)中交通诱导方案的制定提供参考与依据.研究采用SP(Stated Preference Survey)调查方法针对驾驶员对交通信息响应状况进行调查,同时对目前交通信息提供现状进行了调查.对调查数据进行定性和定量分析的基础上,建立了信息提供下驾驶员路径选择行为的Logistic模型,可用于判别分析.研究发现各变量在不同程度上影响驾驶员路径改变倾向,其中驾驶员对交通信息广播的准确性评价以及能够容忍延误时间的程度等因素对驾驶员路径选择行为影响较大.
This study is to understand the mechanism of drivers′route choice behavior on traffic information,so as to provide reference and basis for induction programming.This paper uses Stated Preference survey to obtain data,then it analyses the general trend on route choice of different drivers,drivers′different response on different traffic information and current status of traffic information services.This paper analyses the survey data obtained through descriptive analysis,correlation analysis,Logistic regression model analysis methods.Finally,the paper establishes the route choice behav-ior Logistic model,it can be used for discriminant analysis.Variables impact drivers′route choice behavior in varying degrees.The drivers′toleration delay time and evaluation of traffic information services significantly impact drivers＇route choice behavior.
出处
《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》
2010年第4期639-643,共5页
Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）
基金
国家高技术研究发展计划(863计划)(批准号:2007AA11Z202)
国家科技支撑计划(批准号:2007BAK35B06
2009BAG13A05)资助
标志雪铁龙(中国)汽车贸易有限公司对清华大学交通研究所驾驶行为研究的资助
关键词
SP调查
交通信息
路径选择
LOGISTIC模型
判别分析
Stated Preference survey
traffic information
route choice behavior
Logistic regression model
discriminant analysis
