中国农民消费行为及影响因素分析

China's Rural Household Consumption Characteristics and Its Influencing Factors Analysis

本文运用适用预期的消费函数模型,对中国农民的消费行为影响因素进行实证分析。研究表明:农村居民消费的变动呈现出对收入变动的过度敏感,并且农民存在消费习惯,收入的不确定性进一步抑制了农民的消费。本文又做了进一步研究,发现受灾面积,农业支出对收入的影响不大,而农产品生产价格指数是造成收入不确定性的主要因素。

This paper makes an empirical analysis to the influence factors of China farmers＇ consumption behaviors by employing the consumption function model of adaptive expectations,and the research illustrates that the consumption change of China rural residents appears an over-sensitive to the revenue change,moreover,the uncertainty of farmers＇ revenue and consumption custom further restrict their consumption. This paper reveals that the disaster area and agriculture expenditure have only less influence to farmers＇ revenue,on the contrary,the production price index of agricultural goods is the primary factor of causing the uncertainty of farmers revenue.