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货币危机预警理论与模型综述

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摘要 货币危机预警的主要目的是提早识别危机发生的信号,以便该国能够及时采取适当的措施,减少危机发生的概率,乃至避免危机的发生,或者减少危机发生的强度和烈度。20世纪90年代以来的货币危机预警研究,形成了信号分析模型、离散选择模型和马尔可夫状态转移模型等预警模型,但总体而言,现有预警方法的预警能力还不够理想。
作者 石晓烽
出处 《金融教学与研究》 2010年第4期13-16,共4页 Finance Teaching and Research
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参考文献16

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