摘要
根据2008年至2009年中国传染病调查资料,手足口病在我国也有流行趋势.将研究非典型性肺炎的数学模型SEIJR修正为SICR模型,并根据目前医学研究报告的结论:手足口病的患者痊愈后,痊愈者对其病毒能永久免疫,分析并讨论SICR模型找到能控制手足口病并发重症患者累积人数的理论依据,并且作为现实情形中控制疫情的参考依据.
According to 2008~2009 survey data of infectious diseases,hand,foot and mouth disease in China also have fashion trends.This paper studies the mathematical model of SARS SEIJR amended to SICR model,and based on current medical research report concludes： Hand,foot and mouth disease were cured,the virus can be cured by their permanent immunity,analyzed and discussed SICR model to find a control in patients with HFMD complicated by severe cumulative number of theoretical and practical case for controlling the epidemic as a reference.
出处
《南阳师范学院学报》
CAS
2010年第9期15-18,共4页
Journal of Nanyang Normal University
关键词
手足口病
数学模型
SICR模型
重症疫情
平衡点
hand
foot and mouth disease
mathematical model
SICR model
severe epidemic
balance point
