摘要
在引入创新链概念的前提下,阐述出数据包络分析方法的内涵、理论框架及选择依据,并构建长沙市创新链评价指标体系,运用数据包络分析方法实证比较2001—2008年长沙市在政府、企业和高等教育机构的创新效率,发现创新绩效不容乐观.在此基础上,采用时间序列自回归模型对长沙市2009年创新链发展情况进行预测,得出:若按目前情况发展,长沙市创新链条的资源将会出现严重浪费,最后,针对存在的问题提出了相应的解决对策.
The present paper first gives an outline of innovation chain, including its connotation, theoretical frame and the reason of using the definition. Then an evaluation index system of innovation chain of Changsha City is designed, and by the method of data envelopment analysis, the innovation efficiencies of government, enterprises and high education institutions in the city from 2001 to 2008 are compared. The results shows that the city＇s innovation efficiency was by no means optimistic during the years. Furthermore, by the use of time serial auto-regression model, situation in 2009, and points out that, if the current situation keeps unchanged the author projects the , resources in this city＇s innovation chain will be seriously wasted and definitely some measures must be taken.
出处
《亚热带资源与环境学报》
2010年第3期11-18,共8页
Journal of Subtropical Resources and Environment
基金
长沙市科技局项目"长沙市区域创新比较优势及创新链优化建设研究(53132-1165)"
关键词
创新链
数据包络分析
创新效率
自回归模型
长沙市
innovation chain
data envelopment analysis
innovation efficiency
auto-regression model
Changsha City
