基于SPSS回归分析对中长期居民用电负荷预测

Forecasting of long - term residential electricity load based on SPSS regression analysis

作者利用SPSS软件，对居民可支配收入、人均GDP、城市化进程等一系列国民经济数据与居民人均用电量进行了回归分析，利用逐步分析法较为清楚地了解了数据之间的联系，得到了拟合度较高的中长期居民用电负荷预测模型，对电力系统的建设和规划具有重要的意义。

The regression model of SPSS is used to analyze the residential power comsumption, the disposa-ble per capita income, GI）P per capita and urbanization. In this paper, the regression analysis method is used to find out the relation between the data, and the forecasting model, which has higher goodness of fit, for the mid - long term residential load is also achieved. It has very important significance to the construe- tion and planning of power system.