农户参与订单农业意愿的影响因素分析——基于陕西21个村果农调查数据的分析

An Analysis on Influential Factors of Farmers' Intention to Participate in Contract-farming:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Research Data from 21 Villages in 5 Apple Production Counties in Shanxi Province

采用Logit模型对农户参与订单农业意愿的影响因素进行分析。研究发现,农户苹果园面积、家庭劳动力个数、是否参加经济合作组织、近三年是否购买过假农药、收购商违约次数以及2007年是否遭遇滞销与参与订单农业的意愿存在正相关关系;而农户苹果园平均树龄、家庭中是否有人从事非农职业、苹果收入占家庭总收入的比重以及近三年是否遭遇过较严重自然灾害与参与订单农业的意愿存在负相关关系。此外,农户参与订单农业的意愿存在明显地区差异。

This paper adopts the Logit model to measure the influential factors of apple growers＇ intention to participate in contract-farming.The research shows that there is a positive correlation between contract-farming participation and the following factors：the acreage of orchard,quantity of family labor force,whether they have joined in the economic cooperation,whether they have bought fake pesticides in the last three years,unmarketable in 2007 and times that purchasers break the rule.There is a negative correlation between contract-farming participation and other factors, such as average age of trees in the orchard,whether or not there are family members undertaking non-agricultural professions,encountering severe natural disasters in the last three years and the proportion of apple-selling earning in the whole family income.Besides,there is regional difference in the intention to participate in contract-farming of apple growers.