中国GDP与煤炭消费量的相关性研究

Research on Relevance Between GDP and Coal Consumption of China

国民经济的发展离不开能源的消费,而煤炭作为我国最重要的一次能源,与我国经济的发展息息相关,因此对煤炭消费量的深入研究以及预测具有重要的现实意义。笔者对1978—2008年中国GDP与煤炭消费量之间的相互关系进行了实证研究。研究表明,中国GDP与煤炭消费量之间存在着很强的相关性,二者之间的弹性系数对未来我国的煤炭消费量的预测方法有效。

The development of national economy comes with consumption of energy resources. As one of the most important energy resources, coal is closely linked with development of national economy, which has operation significance to furthest study and prediction of coal consumption. In this paper, the author researched correlation between GDP and coal consumption from 1978 to 2008. The results showed that there were temporal relationship between Chinese GDP and coal consumption. Coefficient of elasticity between them had an effect on prediction of coal consumption from 2010 to 2015.