投资对就业影响的实证研究

An Empirical Study of the Impact of Investment on Employment

本文运用格兰杰因果检验和协整理论研究了我国全社会投资和就业的关系,并借助面板数据模型分析了33部门投资与就业的关系。格兰杰因果检验表明我国全社会投资增长是就业增长的格兰杰原因。协整分析表明全社会投资增长与就业增长存在着长期稳定的均衡关系。面板数据模型表明投资对商业饮食业就业的影响最大。

The paper deals with the relationship between investment and employment of our society by using Granger causality test and co-ntegration theory and analyzes the relationship between 33 departments＇ investment and employment with the panel data model. Granger causality test indicates that China＇s investment growth in the whole of society is a Granger cause of employment growth. Contegration analysis shows that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the whole social investment growth and employment growth. Panel data model testifies that investment has a great effect on the employment of catering trade.