中国出口商品结构高度化的影响因素研究——基于省际面板数据的实证检验

Determinants of China's Export Goods Structure Upgrading:Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Data

我国出口商品结构的问题引起国内外学者的高度关注,国外一些学者的研究均发现中国总体出口高度化水平"出乎意料"地高。研究出口商品结构高度化的来源具有深刻的福利含义,本文基于中国31个省市自治区2002-2007年出口商品的面板数据,实证研究发现:(1)外商直接投资、对外直接投资均对出口商品结构高度化具有促进作用;(2)一般贸易方式对出口商品结构高度化的促进效应不明显,加工贸易方式具有显著的阻碍效应;(3)人力资本对出口商品结构高度化具有显著的促进作用。

In recent years, China＇ s export goods structure has aroused the attention of scholars both at home and abroad, the studies of foreign scholars Rodrik （2006） and Schott （2008） have found that the level of sophistication of China＇ s overall export is ＂surprisingly＂ high. It has profound welfare meanings to study the source of export goods structure upgrading based on the panel data of China＇ s 31 provinces＇ exports from 2002 to 2007. The results of empirical analysis ineludes： （1） Foreign Direct Investment （FDI） and Outward Foreign Direct Investment （OFDI） have optimized the structure of export goods. Although the total amount of OFDI is small, the extent of its impact is larger than FDI; （2） The promoting effect brought by the ordinal trade was not obvious, but processing trade has significantly hindering effect; （3） The promoting effect of human capital is stronger than technological progress; （4） State-owned enterprises＇ export has the most significant effect on optimizing the export goods structure, followed by Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan enterpris- es. Private enterprises and foreign invested enterprises have insignificant effect on export goods structure.