上海对外贸易利益分析:基于2002～2008年的数据

Analysis on Gains from Trade of Shanghai:Based on the Data from 2002 to 2008

本文基于2002～2008年一般贸易、加工贸易、保税仓库进出境货物和保税仓储转口货物四种贸易方式下的贸易结构和贸易条件,分析上海的对外贸易利益。研究发现,上海与六大贸易伙伴相互之间的贸易依赖程度不对等。上海进出口产品贸易结构已经高度化,双边贸易的主要产品集中,且表现出产业内贸易特征。四种贸易方式下,上海的价格贸易条件和收入贸易条件的变化趋势不尽相同,但是社会整体福利水平趋于提高,上海能够从对外贸易中获取贸易利益。上海商品出口贸易结构的高度化与价格贸易条件正相关,但是上海在不同贸易方式下获取贸易利益的水平不同。

The paper analyzed the gains from trade of Shanghai based on trade structure and terms of trade under the 4 different trade modes named ordinary trade, processing trade, import and export goods from bonded warehouse and storage of transit goods in bonded warehouses from 2002 to 2008. The research showed the interdependence between Shanghai and 6 major trade partners are not equal. Shanghai has already realized trade structure supererogation, the major trade goods fell into some types and charac- terized as intra - industry trade. Under the 4 different trade modes, the trend of NBTr and ITT of Shang hai are not fully similar, however, the social welfare level tended to be raised and Shanghai could benefit from foreign trade. There＇s positive relationship between export structure and NBTT of Shanghai, but the level of gains from trade is not equal under different trade modes.