基于改进兰彻斯特平方律的空战进程预测研究

Study on Forecast of Air Combat Course based on Improved Lanchester's Sqaure Law

在战斗进程预测方面,兰彻斯特方程起着重要作用。分析了兰彻斯特平方律模型,得出了战役优势参数和参战双方战斗单位数量的关系;在考虑预警机支援的情况下,分别对兰彻斯特平方律和多元兰彻斯特平方律模型进行了改进,并得出了相应的改进后的战役优势参数形式;最后将改进后的模型分别应用于单一机型和多种机型参战的空战进程预测,仿真结果表明,预警机是取得战役优势的关键因素。

Lanchester equation has an important effect in forecast of combat course.Lanchester＇s square law model was analyzed,the relation between campaign superiority parameter and the number of combat unit of both sides engaged in the combat was deduced.Under the circumstances of considering the support of AWACS,lanchester＇s square law model and multi-lanchester＇s square law model were improved,and corresponding format of improved campaign superiority parameter was educed.At last the improved model was applied to forecast of air combat course of single plane type and multi-plane type,the simulation results showed that AWACS was the key factor of acquiring campaign superiority.