一种打击平流层飞艇的方法研究

Research on the Method of Strike Stratospheric Airship

平流层飞艇可作为临近空间攻防双方重要的武器平台,研究如何对其实施打击具有重要理论及现实意义。现有研究证明由于囊体内外压差极小,通过打击飞艇囊体使其升力气体泄漏从而达到打击目的的方法时效性太差,因此在建立平流层飞艇接收太阳能模型及毁伤薄膜电池模型基础上,分析了太阳能薄膜电池毁伤面积变化与飞艇作战能力之间的关系,并采用蒙特卡洛方法研究了导弹突防阶段雷达探测概率、导弹拦截概率和击中目标时导弹毁伤半径对薄膜电池相对毁伤面积的影响。仿真结果表明,将防御方雷达探测概率和导弹拦截概率控制在0.5并将导弹有效毁伤半径提高到50.0m能较好达成打击平流层飞艇的目的,3枚导弹就可使700m长飞艇在较短时间内丧失作战能力,通过毁伤飞艇太阳能电池来达到打击平流层飞艇目的的方法可行。

The stratospheric airship is regarded as an important near-space weapon platform.As a result,it has great significance to study the manner of destroying it.The solar energy collecting model and the damage solar cells model have been established,the relation between solar cells damage area and the combat capability has been analyzed firstly,and then the impact of defender＇s detecting probability,intercepting probability and damage radius on the solar cells damage area is researched using Monte Carlo method.The simulation result shows that controlling defender＇s detecting and intercepting probability at 0.5,increasing missile damage radius at 50m,then 3 missiles could damage a 700m stratospheric airship in a short time and demonstrates the feasibility of destroying stratospheric airship by damage its solar cells.